Saturday, November 8, 2025
Synopsis: Since March, my volatility indicator has consistently identified when fear fades and opportunity returns. Recent trades in one stock captured double-digit gains in days, not months. The system doesn’t predict—it reads behavior. When emotion resets, it finds the narrow window where volatility becomes opportunity again. Each week, I share how my volatility indicator works […]
After peaking near $4,400 on October 20, the price of gold has tumbled sharply, and as I write this, the precious metal trades below $4,000. If you believe, as I do, that the pullback in gold is a buying opportunity and that the price will rise again (did someone say $5,000?), I have an ETF […]
For more than 20 years, Hercules Capital (HTGC) has produced superior returns for investors. Last week, the business development corporation (BDC) issued a press release celebrating the fact that it had accumulated $25 billion in debt commitments, noting that Hercules is “the largest and leading specialty financing provider to innovative venture, growth, and established stage […]
Over the past few weeks, I have introduced my volatility-based indicator and explained how it measures fear and greed in the market, the two forces that drive price action. This week, I want to go a step further and show how that same indicator helps us stay steady when the crowd reacts to headlines. Every […]
With five-sevenths of the Magnificent Seven stocks reporting earnings this week, perceived negative news could cause a drop in share prices. And if one starts to drop, investor sentiment could likely force a selloff of all seven. However, these are the most successful seven public companies in the U.S., and their long-term prospects are outstanding. […]
When I tell people that I write about stock market investing, you might understand that I get a lot of questions. One common question is what someone can do with money in a previous employer’s 401(k) plan. The money you have in a 401 (k) plan is your money. There may be some vesting of […]
I’ve been sharing my trading research and strategies for more than a decade. During that time, I’ve tested countless ideas and refined more systems than I could count. Most were useful, but not all were strong enough to share publicly. For those of you who are new to my work, I’m a trader who took […]
A recent Wall Street Journal article, “The Frothiest AI Bubble Is in Energy Stocks,” highlighted the fact that investors are looking for any way to invest in the artificial intelligence boom. It is becoming increasingly apparent that AI will need massive data centers that require enormous amounts of electric power. The U.S. power grid is […]
The U.S. vs. China trade spat has quickly turned the U.S. market volatile. When President Trump announced potential retaliation on October 10 over rare earth metals, the Dow dropped by more than 1200 points. On Monday, the market recovered with a gain of 300 points. Then on Tuesday, October 14, the Dow was down 400 […]
Last week I wrote that in chaotic markets, prediction is fragile but process is durable. That idea had me looking back at how my proprietary indicator signal – called the ITV Indicator – performed during a well-known chaotic period, the 2008–2009 bear market. You probably remember 2009. Investors were terrified in the first few weeks […]
