Wednesday, January 22, 2025
I knew this day would come. Every other investor and analyst did too. But I think most investors and analysts don’t understand what’s happening. Last week, the yield curve uninverted. That is likely to be the most significant event of 2024. I know that’s a bold statement. After all, we saw incredible events last year, […]
When I did my ex-pat tour in Uruguay, many of the foreigners living in Montevideo were British. I found it interesting that the British gave a “happy Christmas” wish instead of the “merry Christmas” I grew up with. Now, a decade after returning to the States, I still have “happy Christmas” in my head. So, […]
FOMO—the fear of missing out—might be the most powerful force in the markets. Price action is normally driven by fear and greed. Fear, of course, drives bear markets. Eventually, in a bear market, greed replaces fear and drives prices relentlessly higher. And sometimes, greed gives way to FOMO. At these times, we tend to see […]
FOMO—the Fear of Missing Out—has permeated human behavior long before the term entered popular lexicon. It taps into a universal desire: to seize opportunities, avoid regret, and partake in collective excitement. History offers no shortage of examples of its pull, even among the most disciplined and brilliant minds. Isaac Newton, one of history’s greatest scientists, […]
Last week, I told you about myself. The most important thing about me is what I learned from an old trader who liked to tell me “To know what everyone knows is to know nothing.” This led me to develop a unique indicator, my Income Trader Volatility (ITV) tool. This week I want to describe […]
Last week, I introduced a solution to a problem many of us face: we don’t have enough saved for retirement. Or the problem might be that we simply want more money now. The solution lies in compounding, but not in the way most financial planners describe it. They’re right that compounding is key, but they […]
Elon Musk pulling his offer for Twitter (TWTR) has been big news in the equities world. TWTR is now suing Musk for breach of contract (with the case set for October). Options traders may believe TWTR still has some upside though over the next year. A large options block trade executed last week suggests the […]
Since the peak in December… The Nasdaq has been absolutely slammed… down 28% as I write this. 2020 fever for Zoom, Peloton and other high-flying tech stocks has long cooled. However, I’m looking at a chart from one of America’s most famous tech investors… And it looks like it may actually be bottoming. I explain […]
Welcome to the 2nd half of the trading year! No doubt the first 6 months of 2022 proved very challenging for both buy-and-hold investors & traders. July is setting up to be a massive month. Fed meetings… But, more importantly, earnings season is kicking off July 14th. Company financials will be an incredible indicator if […]
We’re in a broad bear market. There’s no getting around it. My indicators project we could see a relief rally but… for the most part… we’re in a down market. However, energy has bucked the trend and is doing very well right now. Some of the plays, like BPT, have already shot up 30%+… But […]
