Saturday, February 8, 2025
The U.S. seems poised for a manufacturing boom as companies tap into government subsidies, pledging to spend tens of billions of dollars on new projects. The Chips and Science Act and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)—passed within days of each other last August—together include more than $400 billion in tax credits, grants and loans designed […]
As bank stocks fall around us, it is important to remember that the perception of the market is often not reality. In this presentation from my recent MoneyShow appearance, I cover why the banking ‘crisis” is a buying opportunity of historic proportions. We are seeing high-quality banks with plenty of capital, strong balance sheets, and […]
The regional banking failures continue, with First Republic getting gobbled up by JP Morgan Chase (JPM) and now PacWest (PACW) searching for strategic options. That means the company is looking for ways out of the current situation and will likely result in a merger or acquisition with a bigger bank. At least one trader may […]
For almost a year, the stock market has been brutal for those investors who have tried to time the next upturn or downturn. Since the bear market first bottomed last June (and then again in October), the stock market rallies have run enough to get investors excited before dashing their hopes by turning down again. […]
The pharma giant GSK PLC (GSK) is working to emerge from years with a share price that goes nowhere. The company’s CEO, Emma Walmsley, is still trying to convince investors that she is delivering a “new chapter of growth” after many years of underperformance. GSK shares are down 3% over the past five years, while […]
Sitting down with Phil Timyan to talk about banks and bank stock is a rare treat. Phil Timyan has been on both sides of the table as a banker and investor. He has filed 13D on several banks and waged activist campaigns to improve bank operations and even the outright sale of under-performing banks. Phil […]
Crocs (CROX) posted earnings last week and the stock dropped about 15% after the fact. The company posted better than expected revenues for Q1 but Q2 guidance was disappointing. However, an options trader may be thinking that the selloff was overdone. This trader appears to have purchased a very bullish ratio call spread in CROX […]
I’ve seen two hour waits at some of the best spots near me. Full restaurants don’t sound bearish, yet, you likely also keep seeing bearish news (like the recent First Republic Bank collapse). What’s going on? I looked at the recent earnings report for Dominos… the pizza company. Pizza orders gives you a great glimpse […]
Last week’s earnings reports from a few different REITs indicated that commercial office space and commercial lending have not fallen into the crisis the financial media has warned of. The fear in the markets is that low office space occupancy will lead to declining property values and commercial mortgage defaults. Also, since commercial mortgages are […]
While options block trades can potentially provide insight into what the smart money is doing, it’s impossible to know for sure what the goal of a big trade is. For instance, a 22,000-lot call spread expiring in October appears to have been purchased in iShares 20+ Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) options. This would seem to […]
