Friday, September 20, 2024
The U.S. economy will likely experience a recession this year. We may already be in one. I believe the 2023 slowdown will be significantly different compared to recent economic contractions. Memorable recessions are usually associated with a larger financial crisis, such as the bursting of the dotcom bubble or out-of-control subprime mortgage lending, such as […]
The war in Ukraine certainly boosted energy stocks in 2022. But it also lit a fire underneath another sector: defense stocks. Shares in defense companies have surged in recent months, eclipsing the gains seen in the wider stock market averages. An MSCI global benchmark for the sector is up almost 30% in dollar terms since […]
There’s an interesting phenomenon that when bear markets rally, they only rally a certain %. It’s almost exactly that % number. Today, I want to share with you that % number, why it works out like that, and what you can expect for March in the stock market. My name is Serge Berger, I’ve traded […]
Interest rates have been the focus on 2023 so far (to the surprise of no one). One way to trade interest rates is by using ProShares Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TBT). TBT moves with the direction of rates (yields) and opposite the direction of bond prices. With rates the highest they’ve been in […]
Last week the U.S. stock market experienced its biggest one-day decline in several years. A rapid yield increase on the 10-year Treasury note triggered the stock market route. The market runup in January was due to investor expectations that the Federal Reserve would soon start to ease interest rates.February reversed that enthusiasm, and the stock […]
2022 was truly a breakout year for generative artificial intelligence (AI), which can produce fluent textual responses to questions, draft stories, and generate images on demand. But generative AI really came to the fore for investors after Microsoft (MSFT) made the decision in January of this year by to invest $10 billion in OpenAI, the […]
One of the most active ETFs in terms of options trading is the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG). The most popular high yield bond ETF, HYG trades over 400,000 options contracts per day on average. A trader recently placed 7,000 of what appear to be HYG covered calls. The position could […]
The past couple of weeks, we’ve talked about how looking at the right 13F filings can reveal some of the greatest investments to make right now. It’s like having Wall Street’s best analysts working for you, for free… If you know what to look for, of course. But before we move on to other segments […]
Last week, I showed you how I make one of the most difficult choices an income investor will ever face: when to sell a stock to lock in a profit. Today, I’ll cover the only decision that’s even harder. I’m of course talking about when to give up on a stock, let go, and sell […]
I continue to maintain that the 2023 stock market will look a lot like the 2022 stock market. Big tech continues to reel from overspending during the pandemic, and are being forced to fire large numbers of employees to cut costs. Meanwhile, America’s more traditional mid-cap companies in dull sectors like manufacturing—which have had to […]
