I’m looking at a chart comparing bond yields correlated to the US economy. Right now, there are extreme readings in a pattern not ever seen. Usually, as the economy goes down, so do bond yields and vice versa. However — right now, economic data is worsening quickly but bond yields are rocketing higher. I have […]
Is Silvergate Going To Zero?
Silvergate Capital (SI) is a crypto-friendly bank that is down over 60% in a week (at the time of this writing). The regional bank is getting hit hard after admitting the company has concerns about its operational viability after the collapse of the crypto market in recent months. Several short-term options block trades suggest that […]
Why I’m a Market Pessimist – And How I’m Protecting Myself
I would love to be an unabashed stock market bull right now. It is very easy to be a market bull. People love a more optimistic message. If you are a market bull, you can have conversations about artificial intelligence, renewable energy, electric vehicles, and all that other exciting stuff. Bulls promote the idea of […]
These Stocks Are on A Dividend Increase Bonanza
It’s a bonanza for income investors out there. Each day, I am shocked that another dividend increase out of the business development company (BDC) sector hits my inbox. Today I want to provide a list of BDCs that have announced dividend increases and/or supplemental dividends – and which ones to look at for your portfolio… […]
Staying Bullish On Natural Gas
The United States is expected to become the world’s largest exporter of liquified natural gas (LNG) in 2023. Last year was a record for long-term contracts signed by U.S. LNG exporters, with agreements for 65 million metric tons per year in exports—more than triple the 2021 amount! The U.S. has the capacity to export about […]
Trade of the Week: Energy
A popular method of trading the energy sector is by using the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE), which tracks the energy stocks of the S&P 500. A strategist placed a call ratio spread last week that likely signals bullish expectations in energy stocks through April. A ratio spread is a way to reduce the […]
The Only Way to Make Money Investing in Tech
Everybody loves tech stocks. After all, technology has changed the world and will continue to do so. The hard part is picking those tech stocks that will be the winners over time, and deliver potentially life-changing returns to shareholders. In tech stock investing, getting caught up in a story is even easier than usual. Consider […]
Do This to Protect Yourself From the 2023 Earnings Recession
The U.S. economy will likely experience a recession this year. We may already be in one. I believe the 2023 slowdown will be significantly different compared to recent economic contractions. Memorable recessions are usually associated with a larger financial crisis, such as the bursting of the dotcom bubble or out-of-control subprime mortgage lending, such as […]
Ride This Rocket Maker to Profits
The war in Ukraine certainly boosted energy stocks in 2022. But it also lit a fire underneath another sector: defense stocks. Shares in defense companies have surged in recent months, eclipsing the gains seen in the wider stock market averages. An MSCI global benchmark for the sector is up almost 30% in dollar terms since […]
My March Outlook on Stocks (Called the Bear Market at The Top)
There’s an interesting phenomenon that when bear markets rally, they only rally a certain %. It’s almost exactly that % number. Today, I want to share with you that % number, why it works out like that, and what you can expect for March in the stock market. My name is Serge Berger, I’ve traded […]